Bayesian inference with sources of uncertainty: from confidence modelling to sparse estimation

Abstract

We introduce a general framework that extends Bayesian inference by allowing the researcher to explicitly encode confidence in each source of uncertainty within the model. This mechanism provides a new handle for model design and regularisation control. Building on this framework, we develop a general approach for inducing sparsity in statistical models and illustrate its use in linear and logistic regression, as well as in Bayesian neural networks.

36 pages, 8 figures, 6 tables; includes Supplementary Material