paper

Smoking Gun Signatures of Quasilocal Probability in Black Hole Ringdowns

arXiv:2604.20922 · doi:10.1016/j.dark.2026.102359

Abstract

Building on recent work introducing the idea of Quasilocal Probability in curved spacetime, we develop its observational implications for black hole ringdown in detail. We show that horizon-induced probability flux leads to an effective non-Hermitian dynamics producing three distinctive signatures, which are correlated multi-mode deviations, weak amplitude dependence and a mismatch between waveform damping and energy accounting. These effects arise from a single boundary-flux mechanism and therefore exhibit a constrained, low-dimensional structure not expected in generic modified gravity scenarios. We demonstrate that while individual deviations may be mimicked, their combined pattern provides a robust discriminator of quasilocal probability. We further argue that upcoming gravitational wave observations can probe these signatures at meaningful precision. We also establish that black hole ringdown is a novel arena to test whether quantum mechanical Hermiticity is really a fundamental property or an emergent symmetry in quantum gravity.

arXiv comment15 pages with 4 figures, comments very welcome !

References in corpus (21)