paper

Phantom-Crossing Dark Energy and the Tug-of-War

arXiv:2603.22406 · doi:10.1088/1475-7516/2026/09/023

Abstract

Recent analyses combining data from the cosmic microwave background (CMB), baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO), and Type Ia supernovae (SN) have revealed a tentative observational preference for phantom crossing in the dark energy equation of state . We argue that this preference is a natural consequence of the tensions that arise when these datasets are individually fit to CDM, specifically because of the ordering . We show both theoretically and empirically that models with phantom crossing can shift all of these inferred values toward mutual alignment. In contrast, quintessence theories restricted to can alleviate the tensions with SN data but only at the cost of exacerbating the BAO-CMB discrepancy. We therefore conclude that it is the BAO and CMB measurements - not the SN data - that drive the preference for phantom crossing over quintessence in joint analyses. Moreover, we point out that SN data exhibit greater tensions with the other datasets when fit to phantom-crossing models than when fit to quintessence, causing the preference for phantom crossing to be weaker in joint CMB+BAO+SN analyses than in analyses of CMB+BAO data alone.

21 pages, 7 figures