Dead ends in square-free digit walks

Abstract

We study "dead ends" in square-free digit walks: square-free integers $N$ such that, in base $b$, every one-digit extension $bN+d$ is non-square-free. In base $10$, the stochastic independence model of Miller et al. suggests that infinite square-free walks occur with probability near $1$, corresponding to an asymptotic dead-end density of $\approx 5.218\times 10^{-5}$. We prove that the true asymptotic dead-end density satisfies \[ c_{\mathrm{dead}} \approx 1.317\times 10^{-9}, \] roughly a factor of $\sim 4\times 10^4$ smaller than the prediction. For every base $b\ge 2$, we prove that dead-end densities exist and are given by a closed-form expression (as a finite alternating sum of Euler products). The argument is fully formalized in Lean/Mathlib, and was produced automatically by AxiomProver from a natural-language statement of the problem.

After we posted the first version on arXiv, we learned from K. Soundararajan that the result in this paper was previously obtained by Mirsky in 1947. We mistakenly assumed that the 2024 paper of Miller et al. represented the status of this problem. Their paper makes no reference to Mirsky; his work seems to have been forgotten. This manuscript will not be submitted for journal publication