paper

On the convoy of the ASEP speed process

arXiv:2512.19897

Abstract

We investigate the size of the convoy in the speed process in the multi-species asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP). Through a coupling argument, we obtain an exact formula for the expected convoy size by relating it to a combinatorial structure. We prove that the asymptotic expected convoy size is universal for all fixed jump rates . In the special case , we upgrade this to full convergence in distribution. We further establish a critical scaling that yields a nontrivial limiting regime. Our analysis builds on Martin's construction of the convoy and makes use of an orthogonal-polynomial representation of random-walk transition probabilities.

42 pages, preliminary version. Comments are welcome!