Extremal poker hand rankings: why the standard 52 card deck and a 3044 card deck are special

Abstract

We study poker hand rankings in the partially generalised setting of a deck with $r$ ranks, rather than the typical 13 ranks. We provide the hand rankings for all $r$ and observe some interesting phenomena such as the smallest $r$ such that flushes rank below one-pair hands. Perhaps surprisingly, as $r$ grows without bound, the hand ranking is not stable until $r=761$ (a 3044 card deck). We consider showdown frequency, which is the frequency that a given type of hand is declared by a player at showdown, and make note of counterintuitive instances in which a hand with lower absolute frequency than some other hand nonetheless has a higher showdown frequency. This can be interpreted as a form of Gadbois paradox but in the typical setting of poker without wild cards. Conveniently, the standard deck with 13 ranks turns out to be the smallest deck that avoids a discrepancy between absolute frequency and showdown frequency for all hand types other than having a high card.

6 pages, 1 figure