Large deviations for light-tailed Lévy bridges on short time scales
arXiv:2505.23972
Abstract
Let be a multivariate Lévy process with Lévy measure for a smoothly regularly varying function of index . The process is renormalized as , , for a scaling parameter , as . We study the behavior of the bridge of the renormalized process conditioned on the event for a given end point and end time in the regime of small . Our main result is a sample path large deviations principle (LDP) for with a specific speed function and an entropy-type rate function on the Skorokhod space in the limit . We show that the asymptotic energy minimizing path of is the linear parametrization of the straight line between and , while all paths leaving this set are exponentially negligible. We also infer a LDP for the asymptotic number of jumps and establish asymptotic normality of the jump increments of . Since on these short time scales ) direct LDP methods cannot be adapted we use an alternative direct approach based on convolution density estimates of the marginals , ,for which we solve a specific nonlinear functional equation.