The density of elliptic curves over ${\mathbb{Q}}_p$ with a rational 3-torsion point or a rational 3-isogeny

Abstract

We determine the probability that a random Weierstrass equation with coefficients in the $p$-adic integers defines an elliptic curve with a non-trivial $3$-torsion point, or with a degree $3$ isogeny, defined over the field of $p$-adic numbers. We determine these densities by calculating the corresponding $p$-adic volume integrals and analyzing certain modular curves. Additionally, we explore the case of $\ell$-torsion for $\ell >3$ prime.