paper

Discounted Subjective Expected Utility in Continuous Time

arXiv:2403.15319

Abstract

By embedding uncertainty into time, we obtain a conjoint axiomatic characterization of both Exponential Discounting and Subjective Expected Utility that accommodates arbitrary state and outcome spaces. In doing so, we provide a novel and simple time-interpretation of subjective probability. The subjective probability of an event is calibrated using time discounting.

Discounted Subjective Expected Utility in Continuous Time · wovepaper