Geometric local systems on very general curves and isomonodromy

Abstract

We show that the minimum rank of a non-isotrivial local system of geometric origin, on a suitably general $n$-pointed curve of genus $g$, is at least $2\sqrt{g+1}$. We apply this result to resolve conjectures of Esnault-Kerz and Budur-Wang. The main input is an analysis of stability properties of flat vector bundles under isomonodromic deformation, which additionally answers questions of Biswas, Heu, and Hurtubise.

arXiv comment57 pages, comments welcome! Updated to match journal version