Local behavior of diffusions at the supremum
arXiv:2111.09048
Abstract
This paper studies small-time behavior at the supremum of a diffusion process. For a solution to the SDE (where is a standard Brownian motion) we consider as , where is the supremum of on the time interval and is the time of the supremum. It is shown that this process converges in law to a process , where and arise as independent Bessel-3 processes multiplied by . The proof is based on the fact that a continuous local martingale can be represented as a time-changed Brownian motion. This representation is also used to prove a limit theorem for zooming in on at a fixed time. As an application of the zooming-in result at the supremum we consider estimation of the supremum based on observations at equidistant times.
10 pages