paper

A decomposition for Levy processes inspected at Poisson moments

arXiv:2110.12256

Abstract

We consider a Lévy process that is not permanently observed, but rather inspected at Poisson() moments only, over an exponentially distributed time with parameter . The focus lies on the analysis of the distribution of the running maximum at such inspection moments up to , denoted by . Our main result is a decomposition: we derive a remarkable distributional equality that contains as well as the running maximum process at the exponentially distributed times and . Concretely, can be written the sum of the two independent random variables that are distributed as and . The distribution of can be identified more explicitly in the two special cases of a spectrally positive and a spectrally negative Lévy process. As an illustrative example of the potential of our results, we show how to determine the asymptotic behavior of the bankruptcy probability in the Cramér-Lundberg insurance risk model.