Analytical solution of SEIR model describing the free spread of the COVID-19 pandemic

Abstract

We analytically study the SEIR (Susceptible Exposed Infectious Removed) epidemic model. The aim is to provide simple analytical expressions for the peak and asymptotic values and their characteristic times of the populations affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

21 pages, 5 figures

References in corpus (2)

• Exact analytical solutions of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model and of the SIR model with equal death and birth rates
• Preliminary prediction of the basic reproduction number of the Wuhan novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV

Cited by in corpus (2)

• The approximately universal shapes of epidemic curves in the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model
• Responses to COVID-19 with Probabilistic Programming