paper

Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments

arXiv:2012.12208 · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-93639-1

Abstract

An important question in representative democracies is how to determine the optimal parliament size of a given country. According to an old conjecture, known as the cubic root law, there is a fairly universal power-law relation, with an exponent close to 1/3, between the size of an elected parliament and the country's population. Empirical data in modern European countries support such universality but are consistent with a larger exponent. In this work, we analyze this intriguing regularity using tools from complex networks theory. We model the population of a democratic country as a random network, drawn from a growth model, where each node is assigned a constituency membership sampled from an available set of size . We calculate analytically the modularity of the population and find that its functional relation with the number of constituencies is strongly non-monotonic, exhibiting a maximum that depends on the population size. The criterion of maximal modularity allows us to predict that the number of representatives should scale as a power-law in the size of the population, a finding that is qualitatively confirmed by the empirical analysis of real-world data.

arXiv comment12 pag., 10 figures

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