An Information-Theoretic Perspective on Overfitting and Underfitting

Abstract

We present an information-theoretic framework for understanding overfitting and underfitting in machine learning and prove the formal undecidability of determining whether an arbitrary classification algorithm will overfit a dataset. Measuring algorithm capacity via the information transferred from datasets to models, we consider mismatches between algorithm capacities and datasets to provide a signature for when a model can overfit or underfit a dataset. We present results upper-bounding algorithm capacity, establish its relationship to quantities in the algorithmic search framework for machine learning, and relate our work to recent information-theoretic approaches to generalization.

Accepted for presentation at The 33rd Australasian Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AJCAI 2020), November 29-30, 2020