Analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Rio Grande do Sul / Brazil

Abstract

This article contains a series of analyses done for the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Rio Grande do Sul (RS) in the south of Brazil. These analyses are focused on the high-incidence cities such as the state capital Porto Alegre and at the state level. We provide methodological details and estimates for the effective reproduction number $R_t$, a joint analysis of the mobility data together with the estimated $R_t$ as well as ICU simulations and ICU LoS (length of stay) estimation for hospitalizations in Porto Alegre/RS.

15 pages, 11 figures; added new ICU simulation scenarios, hospitalization graphs and city-level mobility analyses