Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
arXiv:2004.04144 · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0236237
Abstract
We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model which integrates known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices.
16 pages, 16 figures, 1 table