SIR Model for COVID-19 calibrated with existing data and projected for Colombia

Abstract

In this paper we develop a SIR epidemiological model with parameters calculated according to existing data at the time of writing (24/03/2020); the data is from Italy, South Korea and Colombia, the model is then used to project the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic in Colombia for different scenarios using the data of population for the country and known initial conditions at the start of the simulation.

Model has been proven incorrect by actual data

Cited by in corpus (1)

• A robust nonlinear mixed-effects model for COVID-19 deaths data