paper

Predictive modelling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community

arXiv:2003.09348 · doi:10.1063/5.0021113

Abstract

We present numerical results obtained from the modelling of a stochastic, highly connected and mobile community. The spread of attributes like health, disease among the community members is simulated using cellular automata on a planar 2 dimensional bounded space. With remarkably few assumptions, we are able to predict the future course of propagation of such disease as a function of time and the fine-tuning of parameters related to the interaction among the automata.

Updated with full model calculations. Submited to PRL

Predictive modelling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community · wovepaper