Control Efficacy on COVID-19
arXiv:2003.00305 · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0246715
Abstract
We proposed a Monte-Carlo method to estimate temporal reproduction number without complete information about symptom onsets of all cases. Province-level analysis demonstrated the huge success of Chinese control measures on COVID-19, that is, provinces' reproduction numbers quickly decrease to <1 by just one week after taking actions.
18 pages, 5 figures, 1 table