Prediction of citation dynamics of individual papers
arXiv:1910.00867
Abstract
We apply stochastic model of citation dynamics of individual papers developed in our previous work (M. Golosovsky and S. Solomon, Phys. Rev. E\textbf{ 95}, 012324 (2017)) to forecast citation career of individual papers. We focus not only on the estimate of the future citations of a paper but on the probabilistic margins of such estimate as well.
arXiv comment15 pages,4 figures