Sequential Neural Methods for Likelihood-free Inference
arXiv:1811.08723
Abstract
Likelihood-free inference refers to inference when a likelihood function cannot be explicitly evaluated, which is often the case for models based on simulators. Most of the literature is based on sample-based `Approximate Bayesian Computation' methods, but recent work suggests that approaches based on deep neural conditional density estimators can obtain state-of-the-art results with fewer simulations. The neural approaches vary in how they choose which simulations to run and what they learn: an approximate posterior or a surrogate likelihood. This work provides some direct controlled comparisons between these choices.
References in corpus (10)
- Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization
- WaveNet: A Generative Model for Raw Audio
- Pixel Recurrent Neural Networks
- MADE: Masked Autoencoder for Distribution Estimation
- Fast -free Inference of Simulation Models with Bayesian Conditional Density Estimation
- Flexible statistical inference for mechanistic models of neural dynamics
- Likelihood-free inference with emulator networks
- Sequential Neural Likelihood: Fast Likelihood-free Inference with Autoregressive Flows
- Sufficient Conditions for Idealised Models to Have No Adversarial Examples: a Theoretical and Empirical Study with Bayesian Neural Networks
- On Bayesian inference for the M/G/1 queue with efficient MCMC sampling