Moderate deviations for the mildly stationary autoregressive models with dependent errors

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale methods, we establish the moderate deviations for the least squares estimators of the regressor and error, which can be applied to understand the near-integrated second order autoregressive processes. As an application, we also obtain the moderate deviations for the Durbin-Watson statistic.

31 pages,8 figures, to be published by Statistics