Lower Bound on the Rate of Adaptation in an Asexual Population

Abstract

We consider a model of asexually reproducing individuals with random mutations and selection. The rate of mutations is proportional to the population size, $N$. The mutations may be either beneficial or deleterious. In a paper by Yu, Etheridge and Cuthbertson (2009) it was conjectured that the average rate at which the mean fitness increases in this model is $O(\log N/(\log \log N{)}^2)$. In this paper we show that for any time $t>0$ there exist values $\hat{I}{\mu }_N\to 0$ and a fixed $c>0$ such that the maximum fitness of the population is greater than $cs\log N/(\log \log N{)}^2$ for all times $s\in [\hat{I}{\mu }_N,t]$ with probability tending to 1 as $N$ tends to infinity.