On the lower tail variational problem for random graphs
arXiv:1502.00867 · doi:10.1017/S0963548316000262
Abstract
We study the lower tail large deviation problem for subgraph counts in a random graph. Let denote the number of copies of in an Erdős-Rényi random graph . We are interested in estimating the lower tail probability for fixed . Thanks to the results of Chatterjee, Dembo, and Varadhan, this large deviation problem has been reduced to a natural variational problem over graphons, at least for (and conjecturally for a larger range of ). We study this variational problem and provide a partial characterization of the so-called "replica symmetric" phase. Informally, our main result says that for every , and for some , as slowly, the main contribution to the lower tail probability comes from Erdős-Rényi random graphs with a uniformly tilted edge density. On the other hand, this is false for non-bipartite and close to 1.
15 pages, 5 figures, 1 table