paper

Exact results for a simple epidemic model on a directed network: Explorations of a system in a non-equilibrium steady state

arXiv:1409.0149 · doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.90.032107

Abstract

Motivated by fundamental issues in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics (NESM), we study the venerable susceptible-infected (SIS) model of disease spreading in an idealized, simple setting. Using Monte Carlo and analytic techniques, we consider a fully connected, uni-directional network of odd number of nodes, each having an equal number of in- and out-degrees. With the standard SIS dynamics at high infection rates, this system settles into an active non-equilibrium steady state. We find the exact probability distribution and explore its implications for NESM, such as the presence of persistent probability currents.

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Exact results for a simple epidemic model on a directed network: Explorations of a system in a non-equilibrium steady state · wovepaper