paper

The True Title of Bayes's Essay

arXiv:1310.0173 · doi:10.1214/13-STS438

Abstract

New evidence is presented that Richard Price gave Thomas Bayes's famous essay a very different title from the commonly reported one. It is argued that this implies Price almost surely and Bayes not improbably embarked upon this work seeking a defensive tool to combat David Hume on an issue in theology.

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/13-STS438 the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)