paper

On the survival of a class of subcritical branching processes in random environment

arXiv:1307.3963

Abstract

Let be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming that the density of has the form for some a slowly varying function and we find the asymptotic survival probability and prove a Yaglom type conditional limit theorem for the process. The survival probability decreases exponentially with an additional polynomial term related to the tail of . The proof relies on a fine study of a random walk (with negative drift and heavy tails) conditioned to stay positive until time and to have a small positive value at time , with tending to infinity.

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