How news affect the trading behavior of different categories of investors in a financial market
arXiv:1207.3300 · doi:10.1080/14697688.2014.931593
Abstract
We investigate the trading behavior of a large set of single investors trading the highly liquid Nokia stock over the period 2003-2008 with the aim of determining the relative role of endogenous and exogenous factors that may affect their behavior. As endogenous factors we consider returns and volatility, whereas the exogenous factors we use are the total daily number of news and a semantic variable based on a sentiment analysis of news. Linear regression and partial correlation analysis of data show that different categories of investors are differently correlated to these factors. Governmental and non profit organizations are weakly sensitive to news and returns or volatility, and, typically, they are more correlated with the former than with the latter. Households and companies, on the contrary, are very sensitive to both endogenous and exogenous factors, and volatility and returns are, on average, much more relevant than the number of news and sentiment, respectively. Finally, financial institutions and foreign organizations are intermediate between these two cases, in terms of both the total explanatory power of these factors and their relative importance.
30 pages, 4 figures and 5 tables
Cited by in corpus (12)
- Social physics
- The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns
- Modeling FX market activity around macroeconomic news: a Hawkes process approach
- Markets, herding and response to external information
- Facebook drives behavior of passive households in stock markets
- Dynamics of Investor Spanning Trees Around Dot-Com Bubble
- Patterns of trading profiles at the Nordic Stock Exchange. A correlation-based approach
- Market Imitation and Win-Stay Lose-Shift strategies emerge as unintended patterns in market direction guesses
- New approaches in agent-based modeling of complex financial systems
- Clusters of investors around Initial Public Offering
- The dynamics of the Reddit collective action leading to the GameStop short squeeze
- Wealth distribution across communities of adaptive financial agents