paper

The Financial Bubble Experiment: advanced diagnostics and forecasts of bubble terminations

arXiv:0911.0454

Abstract

On 2 November 2009, the Financial Bubble Experiment was launched within the Financial Crisis Observatory (FCO) at ETH Zurich (\url{http://www.er.ethz.ch/fco/}). In that initial report, we diagnosed and announced three bubbles on three different assets. In this latest release of 23 December 2009 in this ongoing experiment, we add a diagnostic of a new bubble developing on a fourth asset.

20100514: Added final analysis and summary, including names of assets.