Exchangeable lower previsions
arXiv:0909.1148 · doi:10.3150/09-BEJ182
Abstract
We extend de Finetti's [Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré 7 (1937) 1--68] notion of exchangeability to finite and countable sequences of variables, when a subject's beliefs about them are modelled using coherent lower previsions rather than (linear) previsions. We derive representation theorems in both the finite and countable cases, in terms of sampling without and with replacement, respectively.
Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/09-BEJ182 the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm)