Estimation of a Probability with Guaranteed Normalized Mean Absolute Error
arXiv:0904.3812 · doi:10.1109/LCOMM.2009.091128
Abstract
The estimation of a probability p from repeated Bernoulli trials is considered in this paper. A sequential approach is followed, using a simple stopping rule. A closed-form expression and an upper bound are obtained for the mean absolute error of the unbiased estimator of p. The results given permit the estimation of an arbitrary probability with a prescribed level of normalized mean absolute error.
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