paper

Measure changes with extinction

arXiv:0811.1696

Abstract

We consider a change of measure by a martingale and clarify that in general is only a supermartingale under the changed measure. We then give a necessary and sufficient condition for the event that the limit of the martingale is zero to coincide with the event that the martingale hits zero in finite time (up to a set of zero probability).

6 pages; corrected typo, shortened proof of Theorem 6

Measure changes with extinction · wovepaper