On spatial extremes: with application to a rainfall problem

Abstract

We consider daily rainfall observations at 32 stations in the province of North Holland (the Netherlands) during 30 years. Let $T$ be the total rainfall in this area on one day. An important question is: what is the amount of rainfall $T$ that is exceeded once in 100 years? This is clearly a problem belonging to extreme value theory. Also, it is a genuinely spatial problem. Recently, a theory of extremes of continuous stochastic processes has been developed. Using the ideas of that theory and much computer power (simulations), we have been able to come up with a reasonable answer to the question above.

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/08-AOAS159 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)