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- Centre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueFR536 papers
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11 papers · 2 filters
Causal Slaving of the U.S. Treasury Bond Yield Antibubble by the Stock Market Antibubble of August 2000
W. -X. Zhou, D. Sornette
Using the descriptive method of log-periodic power laws (LPPL) based on a theory of behavioral herding, we use a battery of parametric and non-parametric tests to demonstrate the e…
Antibubble and Prediction of China's stock market and Real-Estate
W. -X. Zhou, D. Sornette
We document a well-developed log-periodic power-law antibubble in China's stock market, which started in August 2001. We argue that the current stock market antibubble is sustained…
Fearless versus Fearful Speculative Financial Bubbles
J. V. Andersen, D Sornette
Using a recently introduced rational expectation model of bubbles, based on the interplay between stochasticity and positive feedbacks of prices on returns and volatility, we devel…
Endogenous Versus Exogenous Shocks in Complex Networks: an Empirical Test Using Book Sale Ranking
D. Sornette, F. Deschatres, T. Gilbert +1
Are large biological extinctions such as the Cretaceous/Tertiary KT boundary due to a meteorite, extreme volcanic activity or self-organized critical extinction cascades? Are comme…
Testing the Stability of the 2000-2003 US Stock Market "Antibubble"
W. -X. Zhou, D. Sornette
Since August 2000, the stock market in the USA as well as most other western markets have depreciated almost in synchrony according to complex patterns of drops and local rebounds.…
Could short selling make financial markets tumble?
Jorgen Vitting Andersen
It is suggested to consider long term trends of financial markets as a growth phenomenon. The question that is asked is what conditions are needed for a long term sustainable growt…