425 citations
Counting papers with at most 25 authors, so collaboration author lists do not stand in for the people here.
- Centre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueFR43 papers
- EDF Energy (United Kingdom)GB24 papers
- CERMICSFR17 papers
- Université Paris-SaclayFR17 papers
- Institut de Mathématiques de ToulouseFR16 papers
- Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies AlternativesFR14 papers
- Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numériqueFR14 papers
- Laboratoire de Probabilités, Statistique et ModélisationFR14 papers
- Université Toulouse III - Paul SabatierFR13 papers
- Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées de l'École polytechniqueFR12 papers
- École PolytechniqueFR12 papers
- Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles AléatoiresFR12 papers
10 papers · 1 filter
Adaptive probabilistic forecasting of French electricity spot prices
Grégoire Dutot, Margaux Zaffran, Olivier Féron +1
Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a major role for electricity companies as a fundamental entry for trading decisions or energy management operations. As electricity can no…
Hierarchical transfer learning with applications for electricity load forecasting
Anestis Antoniadis, Solenne Gaucher, Yannig Goude
The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer…
Advanced methodology for uncertainty propagation in computer experiments with large number of inputs
Bertrand Iooss, Amandine Marrel
In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is es…
Detecting and modeling worst-case dependence structures between random inputs of computational reliability models
Nazih Benoumechiara, Bertrand Michel, Philippe Saint-Pierre +1
Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependen…
Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator in seasonal hidden Markov models
Augustin Touron
In this paper, we introduce a variant of hidden Markov models in which the transition probabilities between the states, as well as the emission distributions, are not constant in t…
Probabilistic risk bounds for the characterization of radiological contamination
Géraud Blatman, Thibault Delage, Bertrand Iooss +1
The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to dete…
Clustering electricity consumers using high-dimensional regression mixture models
Emilie Devijver, Yannig Goude, Jean-Michel Poggi
Massive informations about individual (household, small and medium enterprise) consumption are now provided with new metering technologies and the smart grid. Two major exploitatio…
Visualization tools for uncertainty and sensitivity analyses on thermal-hydraulic transients
Anne-Laure Popelin, Bertrand Iooss
In nuclear engineering studies, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of simulation computer codes can be faced to the complexity of the input and/or the output variables. If these…
On particle filters applied to electricity load forecasting
Tristan Launay, Anne Philippe, Sophie Lamarche
We are interested in the online prediction of the electricity load, within the Bayesian framework of dynamic models. We offer a review of sequential Monte Carlo methods, and provid…
Construction of an informative hierarchical prior for a small sample with the help of historical data and application to electricity load forecasting
Tristan Launay, Anne Philippe, Sophie Lamarche
We are interested in the estimation and prediction of a parametric model on a short dataset upon which it is expected to overfit and perform badly. To overcome the lack of data (re…