541 citations
- Technical University of DenmarkDK7 papers
- Centre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueFR5 papers
- Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numériqueFR5 papers
- Tokyo Institute of TechnologyJP5 papers
- Centre de Physique ThéoriqueFR4 papers
- Center for Pastor TheologiansUS3 papers
- Delft University of TechnologyNL3 papers
- East China Normal UniversityCN3 papers
- Helsinki Institute of PhysicsFI3 papers
- Institut de Recherche en Informatique et Systèmes AléatoiresFR3 papers
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- Romanian AcademyRO3 papers
26 papers · 1 filter
What Causes Cost Overrun in Transport Infrastructure Projects?"
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette K. Skamris Holm, Søren L. Buhl
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of causes of cost escalation in transport infrastructure projects. The study is based on a sample of 25…
Five Misunderstandings About Case-Study Research
Bent Flyvbjerg
This article examines five common misunderstandings about case-study research: (1) Theoretical knowledge is more valuable than practical knowledge; (2) One cannot generalize from a…
Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster
Bent Flyvbjerg, Massimo Garbuio, Dan Lovallo
The Economist recently reported that infrastructure spending is the largest it is ever been as a share of world GDP. With $22 trillion in projected investments over the next ten ye…
Cost Overruns and Demand Shortfalls in Urban Rail and Other Infrastructure
Bent Flyvbjerg
Risk, including economic risk, is increasingly a concern for public policy and management. The possibility of dealing effectively with risk is hampered, however, by lack of a sound…
Measuring Inaccuracy in Travel Demand Forecasting: Methodological Considerations Regarding Ramp Up and Sampling
Bent Flyvbjerg
Project promoters, forecasters, and managers sometimes object to two things in measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: (1) using the forecast made at the time of making…
aHUGIN: A System Creating Adaptive Causal Probabilistic Networks
Kristian G. Olesen, Steffen L. Lauritzen, Finn Verner Jensen
The paper describes aHUGIN, a tool for creating adaptive systems. aHUGIN is an extension of the HUGIN shell, and is based on the methods reported by Spiegelhalter and Lauritzen (19…