output
19942026
most citedNon-parametric kernel estimation for symmetric Hawkes processes. Application to high frequency financial data

181 citations

78 papers

physics.data-an2026

Symmetry-Constrained Forecasting of Periodically Correlated Energy Processes

Cyril Voyant, Candice Banes, Luis Garcia-Gutierrez +3

Time series in energy systems, such as solar irradiance, wind speed, or electrical load, are characterized by strong diurnal and seasonal periodicities. Accurate forecasting requir…

math-ph2025

FLRW embeddings in , differential geometry and conformal photon propagator

E. Huguet, J. Queva, J. Renaud

This paper introduces differential-geometric methods to study -dimensional locally conformally flat spaces as submanifolds in . We derive explicit formulas rel…

cs.LG2025★ 1 cited

Short-Term Forecasting of Energy Production and Consumption Using Extreme Learning Machine: A Comprehensive MIMO based ELM Approach

Cyril Voyant, Milan Despotovic, Luis Garcia-Gutierrez +5

A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine () is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) f…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

NICE^k Metrics: Unified and Multidimensional Framework for Evaluating Deterministic Solar Forecasting Accuracy

Cyril Voyant, Milan Despotovic, Luis Garcia-Gutierrez +4

Accurate solar energy output prediction is key for integrating renewables into grids, maintaining stability, and improving energy management. However, standard error metrics such a…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 5 cited

Stochastic Coefficient of Variation: Assessing the Variability and Forecastability of Solar Irradiance

Cyril Voyant, Alan Julien, Milan Despotovic +5

This work presents a robust framework for quantifying solar irradiance variability and forecastability through the Stochastic Coefficient of Variation (sCV) and the Forecastability…

q-fin.ST2025

A Nested Factor Model for Equity Markets: Reconciling Multifractal Stock Returns and Rough Index Volatilities

Othmane Zarhali, Cecilia Aubrun, Emmanuel Bacry +2

The Nested factor model was introduced by Chicheportiche et al. to represent non-linear correlations between stocks. Stock returns are explained by a standard factor model, but the…