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20052026
most citedWhat are the main drivers of the Bitcoin price? Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis

999 citations

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26 papers · 1 filter

q-fin.ST2020★ 88 cited

Grandpa, grandpa, tell me the one about Bitcoin being a safe haven: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemics

Ladislav Kristoufek

Bitcoin being a safe haven asset is one of the traditional stories in the cryptocurrency community. However, during its existence and relevant presence, i.e. approximately since 20…

q-fin.ST2018

Power-law cross-correlations: Issues, solutions and future challenges

Ladislav Kristoufek

Analysis of long-range dependence in financial time series was one of the initial steps of econophysics into the domain of mainstream finance and financial economics in the 1990s.…

q-fin.ST2017

Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice

Stanislav Anatolyev, Jozef Barunik

We present a simple approach to forecasting conditional probability distributions of asset returns. We work with a parsimonious specification of ordered binary choice regression th…

q-fin.ST2016★ 22 cited

Fractal approach towards power-law coherency to measure cross-correlations between time series

Ladislav Kristoufek

We focus on power-law coherency as an alternative approach towards studying power-law cross-correlations between simultaneously recorded time series. To be able to study empirical…

q-fin.ST2016★ 15 cited

Power-law cross-correlations estimation under heavy tails

Ladislav Kristoufek

We examine the performance of six estimators of the power-law cross-correlations -- the detrended cross-correlation analysis, the detrending moving-average cross-correlation analys…

q-fin.ST2015★ 50 cited

Gold, currencies and market efficiency

Ladislav Kristoufek, Miloslav Vosvrda

Gold and currency markets form a unique pair with specific interactions and dynamics. We focus on the efficiency ranking of gold markets with respect to the currency of purchase. B…

q-fin.ST2015★ 49 cited

Power-law correlations in finance-related Google searches, and their cross-correlations with volatility and traded volume: Evidence from the Dow Jones Industrial components

Ladislav Kristoufek

We study power-law correlations properties of the Google search queries for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) component stocks. Examining the daily data of the searched terms wit…

q-fin.ST2014★ 86 cited

Detrended fluctuation analysis as a regression framework: Estimating dependence at different scales

Ladislav Kristoufek

We propose a framework combining detrended fluctuation analysis with standard regression methodology. The method is built on detrended variances and covariances and it is designed…

q-fin.ST2014★ 19 cited

Spectrum-based estimators of the bivariate Hurst exponent

Ladislav Kristoufek

We introduce two new estimators of the bivariate Hurst exponent in the power-law cross-correlations setting -- the cross-periodogram and local -Whittle estimators -- as generali…

q-fin.ST2014★ 59 cited

Rockets and feathers meet Joseph: Reinvestigating the oil-gasoline asymmetry on the international markets

Ladislav Kristoufek, Petra Lunackova

We reinvestigate the "rockets and feathers" effect between retail gasoline and crude oil prices in a new framework of fractional integration, long-term memory and borderline (non-)…

q-fin.ST2014★ 194 cited

Leverage effect in energy futures

Ladislav Kristoufek

We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namel…

q-fin.ST2013★ 179 cited

Detrending moving-average cross-correlation coefficient: Measuring cross-correlations between non-stationary series

Ladislav Kristoufek

In the paper, we introduce a new measure of correlation between possibly non-stationary series. As the measure is based on the detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis…

q-fin.ST2013★ 222 cited

Measuring correlations between non-stationary series with DCCA coefficient

Ladislav Kristoufek

In this short report, we investigate the ability of the DCCA coefficient to measure correlation level between non-stationary series. Based on a wide Monte Carlo simulation study, w…

q-fin.ST2013★ 102 cited

Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Global Financial Crisis: Wavelet Power Evidence

Ladislav Kristoufek

We analyze whether the prediction of the fractal markets hypothesis about a dominance of specific investment horizons during turbulent times holds. To do so, we utilize the continu…

q-fin.ST2013

Commodity futures and market efficiency

Ladislav Kristoufek, Miloslav Vosvrda

We analyze the market efficiency of 25 commodity futures across various groups -- metals, energies, softs, grains and other agricultural commodities. To do so, we utilize recently…

q-fin.ST2013★ 3 cited

Exponential and power laws in public procurement markets

Ladislav Kristoufek, Jiri Skuhrovec

For the first time ever, we analyze a unique public procurement database, which includes information about a number of bidders for a contract, a final price, an identification of a…

q-fin.ST2013★ 46 cited

Mixed-correlated ARFIMA processes for power-law cross-correlations

Ladislav Kristoufek

We introduce a general framework of the Mixed-correlated ARFIMA (MC-ARFIMA) processes which allows for various specifications of univariate and bivariate long-term memory. Apart fr…

q-fin.ST2013★ 30 cited

Testing power-law cross-correlations: Rescaled covariance test

Ladislav Kristoufek

We introduce a new test for detection of power-law cross-correlations among a pair of time series - the rescaled covariance test. The test is based on a power-law divergence of the…

q-fin.ST2013★ 88 cited

Measuring capital market efficiency: Long-term memory, fractal dimension and approximate entropy

Ladislav Kristoufek, Miloslav Vosvrda

We utilize long-term memory, fractal dimension and approximate entropy as input variables for the Efficiency Index [Kristoufek & Vosvrda (2013), Physica A 392]. This way, we are ab…

q-fin.ST2012★ 123 cited

Time-Frequency Dynamics of Biofuels-Fuels-Food System

Lukas Vacha, Karel Janda, Ladislav Kristoufek +1

For the first time, we apply the wavelet coherence methodology on biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) and a wide range of related commodities (gasoline, diesel, crude oil, corn, wheat…

q-fin.ST2012★ 186 cited

Measuring capital market efficiency: Global and local correlations structure

Ladislav Kristoufek, Miloslav Vosvrda

We introduce a new measure for the capital market efficiency. The measure takes into consideration the correlation structure of the returns (long-term and short-term memory) and lo…

q-fin.ST2012★ 1 cited

Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain

Jozef Barunik, Tomas Krehlik, Lukas Vacha

This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data. Using a forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple time-freq…

q-fin.ST2012★ 101 cited

Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Global Financial Crisis: Scaling, Investment Horizons and Liquidity

Ladislav Kristoufek

We investigate whether fractal markets hypothesis and its focus on liquidity and invest- ment horizons give reasonable predictions about dynamics of the financial markets during th…

q-fin.ST2012★ 277 cited

On Hurst exponent estimation under heavy-tailed distributions

Jozef Barunik, Ladislav Kristoufek

In this paper, we show how the sampling properties of the Hurst exponent methods of estimation change with the presence of heavy tails. We run extensive Monte Carlo simulations to…