output
20042026
most citedInferring population history with DIYABC: a user-friendly approach to Approximate Bayesian Computation

688 citations

Showing physics.space-phShow all

8 papers · 1 filter

physics.space-ph2026

Beyond Mean Solar Wind Conditions: Turbulence-Aware Forecasting of the AE Index

Cara L. Waters, Christopher H. K. Chen, Mathew J. Owens

The auroral electrojet (AE) index is a key indicator of high latitude geomagnetic activity and is widely used in operational space weather monitoring, yet forecasting AE from upstr…

physics.space-ph2025★ 1 cited

Analog ensemble forecasts of solar wind parameters: Quantification of the predictability and time-domain spectral performance

Pauline A. Simon, Christopher H. K. Chen, Mathew J. Owens +1

Forecasting multiscale properties of the solar wind is one of the important aspects of space weather prediction as mesoscales, larger than one minute, can affect the magnetosphere.…

physics.space-ph2022★ 15 cited

Global geomagnetic perturbation forecasting using Deep Learning

Vishal Upendran, Panagiotis Tigas, Banafsheh Ferdousi +6

Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) arise from spatio-temporal changes to Earth's magnetic field which arise from the interaction of the solar wind with Earth's magnetosphere,…

physics.space-ph2020★ 13 cited

Statistics of Solar Wind Electron Breakpoint Energies Using Machine Learning Techniques

Mayur R. Bakrania, I. Jonathan Rae, Andrew P. Walsh +4

Solar wind electron velocity distributions at 1 au consist of a thermal "core" population and two suprathermal populations: "halo" and "strahl". The core and halo are quasi-isotrop…

physics.space-ph2020★ 39 cited

The Evolution of Inverted Magnetic Fields Through the Inner Heliosphere

Allan Macneil, Mathew Owens, Robert Wicks +3

Local inversions are often observed in the heliospheric magnetic field (HMF), but their origins and evolution are not yet fully understood.Parker Solar Probe has recently observed…

physics.space-ph2019★ 17 cited

On the Origin of Otho-Gardenhose Heliospheric Flux

Mike Lockwood, Mat Owens, Allan Macneil

Parker spiral theory predicts the heliospheric magnetic field (HMF) will have components of opposite polarity radially toward the Sun and tangentially antiparallel to the solar rot…