output
19952026
most citedWeatherBench: A benchmark dataset for data-driven weather forecasting

506 citations

Showing 2024Show all

6 papers · 1 filter

physics.ao-ph2024★ 2 cited

Ensemble reliability and the signal-to-noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

Christopher David Roberts, Frederic Vitart

Ensemble forecasts can exhibit counterintuitive statistical properties such that the correlation between ensemble means and observations () exceeds the correlation between…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 8 cited

Unbiased calculation, evaluation, and calibration of ensemble forecast anomalies

Christopher D. Roberts, Martin Leutbecher

Long-range ensemble forecasts are typically verified as anomalies with respect to a lead-time dependent climatological mean to remove the influence of systematic biases. However, c…

astro-ph.EP2024★ 11 cited

Feasibility of keeping Mars warm with nanoparticles

Samaneh Ansari, Edwin S. Kite, Ramses Ramirez +2

One-third of Mars' surface has shallow-buried HO, but it is currently too cold for use by life. Proposals to warm Mars using greenhouse gases require a large mass of ingredient…

stat.ME2024

Ensemble size dependence of the logarithmic score for forecasts issued as multivariate normal distributions

Martin Leutbecher, Sándor Baran

Multivariate probabilistic verification is concerned with the evaluation of joint probability distributions of vector quantities such as a weather variable at multiple locations or…

stat.ML2024★ 11 cited

Development of an offline and online hybrid model for the Integrated Forecasting System

Alban Farchi, Marcin Chrust, Marc Bocquet +1

In recent years, there has been significant progress in the development of fully data-driven global numerical weather prediction models. These machine learning weather prediction m…

physics.geo-ph2024★ 13 cited

Identifying probabilistic weather regimes targeted to a local-scale impact variable

Fiona Raphaela Spuler, Marlene Kretschmer, Yevgeniya Kovalchuk +2

Weather regimes are recurrent and persistent large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns that modulate the occurrence of local impact variables such as extreme precipitation. In t…