431 citations
- Goethe University FrankfurtDE6 papers
- University of BonnDE5 papers
- Centre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueFR3 papers
- European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsGB3 papers
- Pulkovo ObservatoryRU3 papers
- University of ReadingGB3 papers
- Central Statistical OfficeZM2 papers
- Centre National de Recherches MétéorologiquesFR2 papers
- ETH ZurichCH2 papers
- Finnish Meteorological InstituteFI2 papers
- Humboldt-Universität zu BerlinDE2 papers
- Johannes Gutenberg University MainzDE2 papers
4 papers · 1 filter
Generation of scenarios from calibrated ensemble forecasts with a dual ensemble copula coupling approach
Zied Ben Bouallegue, Tobias Heppelmann, Susanne E. Theis +1
Probabilistic forecasts in the form of ensemble of scenarios are required for complex decision making processes. Ensemble forecasting systems provide such products but the spatio-t…
Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of Weather and Climate Models
Judith Berner, Ulrich Achatz, Lauriane Batte +23
The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic pa…
Optimal Estimation of Recurrence Structures from Time Series
Peter beim Graben, Kristin K. Sellers, Flavio Fröhlich +1
Recurrent temporal dynamics is a phenomenon observed frequently in high-dimensional complex systems and its detection is a challenging task. Recurrence quantification analysis util…
Quantile forecast discrimination ability and value
Zied Ben Bouallegue, Pierre Pinson, Petra Friederichs
While probabilistic forecast verification for categorical forecasts is well established, some of the existing concepts and methods have not found their equivalent for the case of c…