output
20062025
most citedStochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of Weather and Climate Models

431 citations

Showing physics.ao-phShow all

10 papers · 1 filter

physics.ao-ph2025★ 2 cited

HRRRCast: a data-driven emulator for regional weather forecasting at convection allowing scales

Daniel Abdi, Isidora Jankov, Paul Madden +5

The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model is a convection-allowing model used in operational weather forecasting across the contiguous United States (CONUS). To provide a comp…

physics.ao-ph2025

AI-informed model-analogs for understanding subseasonal-to-seasonal jet stream and North American temperature predictability

Jacob B. Landsberg, Matthew Newman, Elizabeth A. Barnes

Subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting is crucial for public health, disaster preparedness, and agriculture, and yet it remains a particularly challenging timescale to predict. We exp…

physics.ao-ph2019★ 5 cited

Decadal attribution of historic temperature and ocean heat content change to anthropogenic emissions

E. J. L. Larson, R. W. Portmann, S. Solomon +1

We present an alternative method of calculating the historical effective radiative forcing using the observed temperature record and a kernel based on the CMIP5 temperature respons…

physics.ao-ph2016★ 26 cited

Exploring the Nonlinear Cloud and Rain Equation

Ilan Koren, Eli Tziperman, Graham Feingold

Marine stratocumulus cloud decks are regarded as the reflectors of the climate system, returning back to space a significant part of the income solar radiation, thus cooling the at…

physics.ao-ph2016★ 4 cited

Observing the carbon-climate system

David Schimel, Piers Sellers, Berrien Moore +41

Increases in atmospheric CO2 and CH4 result from a combination of forcing from anthropogenic emissions and Earth System feedbacks that reduce or amplify the effects of those emissi…

physics.ao-ph2015★ 431 cited

Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of Weather and Climate Models

Judith Berner, Ulrich Achatz, Lauriane Batte +23

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic pa…