papers

Publications (74)

physics.soc-ph2010

Fitness-driven deactivation in network evolution

Xin-Jian Xu, Xiao-Long Peng, Michael Small +1

Individual nodes in evolving real-world networks typically experience growth and decay --- that is, the popularity and influence of individuals peaks and then fades. In this paper,…

physics.soc-ph2012

Pairwise interaction pattern in the weighted communication network

Xiao-Ke Xu, Jian-Bo Wang, Ye Wu +1

Although recent studies show that both topological structures and human dynamics can strongly affect information spreading on social networks, the complicated interplay of the two…

q-bio.NC2012

Neuronal avalanches of a self-organized neural network with active-neuron-dominant structure

Xiumin Li, Michael Small

Neuronal avalanche is a spontaneous neuronal activity which obeys a power-law distribution of population event sizes with an exponent of -3/2. It has been observed in the superfici…

q-bio.PE2003

Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus

Michael Small, Pengliang Shi, Chi Kong Tse

Using daily infection data for Hong Kong we explore the validity of a variety of models of disease propagation when applied to the SARS epidemic. Surrogate data methods show that s…

nlin.CD2014

Exploration of period-doubling cascade route to chaos with complex network based time series construction

Ruoxi Xiang, Michael Small

In this work, the topologies of networks constructed from time series from an underlying system undergo a period doubling cascade have been explored by means of the prevalence of d…

nlin.CD2015

Time lagged ordinal partition networks for capturing dynamics of continuous dynamical systems

Michael McCullough, Michael Small, Thomas Stemler +1

We investigate a generalised version of the recently proposed ordinal partition time series to network transformation algorithm. Firstly we introduce a fixed time lag for the eleme…

physics.soc-ph2013

Temporal prediction of epidemic patterns in community networks

Xiao-Long Peng, Michael Small, Xin-Jian Xu +1

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, howe…

physics.data-an2018

Constructing directed networks from multivariate time series using linear modelling technique

Toshihiro Tanizawa, Tomomichi Nakamura, Fumihiko Taya +1

We describe a method to construct directed networks from multivariate time series which has several advantages over the widely accepted methods. This method is based on an informat…

cond-mat.dis-nn2009

Mapping from Architecture to Dynamics: A Unified View of Dynamical Processes on Networks

Jie Zhang, Changsong Zhou, Xiaoke Xu +1

Although it is unambiguously agreed that structure plays a fundamental role in shaping the dynamics of complex systems, this intricate relationship still remains unclear. We invest…

nlin.CD2003

Geometric measures of redundance and irrelevance tradeoff exponent to choose suitable delay times for continuous systems

Xiaodong Luo, Michael Small

Using the concept of the geometric measures of redundance and irrelevance tradeoff exponent (RITE)}, we present a new method to determine suitable delay times for continuous system…

math.DS2026

Dynamics, Complexity and Time Series Analysis

Eugene Tan, David Walker, Michael Small +1

The aim of this text is to provide a linguistically accessible, but comprehensive introduction into a variety of topics in dynamical systems and its applications. Whilst preliminar…

physics.soc-ph2012

The Impacts of Subsidy Policies on Vaccination Decisions in Contact Networks

Hai-Feng Zhang, Zhi-Xi Wu, Xiao-Ke Xu +2

Often, vaccination programs are carried out based on self-interest rather than being mandatory. Owing to the perceptions about risks associated with vaccines and the `herd immunity…

physics.soc-ph2025

Economy and Geography Shape the Collective Attention of Cities

Ke-ke Shang, Jiangli Zhu, Junfan Yi +5

Complex networks are commonly used to explore human behavior. However, previous studies largely overlooked the geographical and economic factors embedded in collective attention. T…

physics.soc-ph2019

The key to the weak-ties phenomenon

Ke-ke Shang, Michael Small, Di Yin +2

The study of the weak-ties phenomenon has a long and well documented history, research into the application of this social phenomenon has recently attracted increasing attention. H…

physics.soc-ph2016

Navigation by anomalous random walks on complex networks

Tongfeng Weng, Jie Zhang, Moein Khajehnejad +3

Anomalous random walks having long-range jumps are a critical branch of dynamical processes on networks, which can model a number of search and transport processes. However, tradit…

physics.soc-ph2010

Rich-club connectivity dominates assortativity and transitivity of complex networks

Xiao-Ke Xu, Jie Zhang, Michael Small

Rich-club, assortativity and clustering coefficients are frequently-used measures to estimate topological properties of complex networks. Here we find that the connectivity among a…

cs.SI2025

Triadic Closure-Heterogeneity-Harmony GCN for Link Prediction

Ke-ke Shang, Junfan Yi, Michael Small +1

Link prediction aims to estimate the likelihood of connections between pairs of nodes in complex networks, which is beneficial to many applications from friend recommendation to me…

math.DS2021

Characterisation of neonatal cardiac dynamics using ordinal partition network

Laurita dos Santos, Débora Corrêa, David Walker +3

The maturation of the autonomic nervous system (ANS) starts in the gestation period and it is completed after birth in a variable time, reaching its peak in adulthood. However, the…

math.DS2023

Ordinal Poincaré Sections: Reconstructing the First Return Map from an Ordinal Segmentation of Time Series

Zahra Shahriari, Shannon Dee Algar, David M. Walker +1

We propose a robust and computationally efficient algorithm to generically construct first return maps of dynamical systems from time series without the need for embedding. Typical…

hep-ph2002

Effects of Squark Processes on the Axino CDM Abundance

Laura Covi, Leszek Roszkowski, Michael Small

We investigate the role of an effective dimension-4 axino-quark-squark coupling in the thermal processes producing stable cold axino relics in the early Universe. We find that, whi…

math.DS2023

Backpropagation on Dynamical Networks

Eugene Tan, Débora Corrêa, Thomas Stemler +1

Dynamical networks are versatile models that can describe a variety of behaviours such as synchronisation and feedback. However, applying these models in real world contexts is dif…

physics.soc-ph2017

Multitarget search on complex networks: A logarithmic growth of global mean random cover time

Tongfeng Weng, Jie Zhang, Michael Small +3

We investigate multitarget search on complex networks and derive an exact expression for the mean random cover time that quantifies the expected time a walker needs to visit multip…

physics.soc-ph2015

Preferential imitation of vaccinating behavior can invalidate the targeted subsidy on complex network

Hai-Feng Zhang, Pan-Pan Shu, Ming Tang +1

We consider the effect of inducement to vaccinate during the spread of an infectious disease on complex networks. Suppose that public resources are finite and that only a small pro…

nlin.CD2012

The stability of networks --- towards a structural dynamical systems theory

Michael Small, Kevin Judd, Thomas Stemler

The need to build a link between the structure of a complex network and the dynamical properties of the corresponding complex system (comprised of multiple low dimensional systems)…

physics.data-an1998

Detecting periodicity in experimental data using linear modeling techniques

Michael Small, Kevin Judd

Fourier spectral estimates and, to a lesser extent, the autocorrelation function are the primary tools to detect periodicities in experimental data in the physical and biological s…

physics.soc-ph2016

Prevention of infectious diseases by public vaccination and individual protection

Xiao-Long Peng, Xin-Jian Xu, Michael Small +2

In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend t…

physics.geo-ph2019

Fast Automatic Detection of Geological Boundaries from Multivariate Log Data Using Recurrence

Ayham Zaitouny, Michael Small, June Hill +2

Manual interpretation of data collected from drill holes for mineral or oil and gas exploration is time-consuming and subjective. Identification of geological boundaries and distin…

physics.data-an2003

Optimal embedding parameters: A modelling paradigm

Michael Small, Chi K. Tse

Reconstruction of a dynamical system from a time series requires the selection of two parameters, the embedding dimension and the embedding lag . Many competing criteria…

math.DS2025

Do triangles matter? Replicating hypergraph disease dynamics with lower-order interactions

Eugene Tan, Michael Small, Shannon D. Algar

Disease spreading models such as the ubiquitous SIS compartmental model and its numerous variants are widely used to understand and predict the behaviour of a given epidemic or inf…

physics.data-an2020

Navigating differential structures in complex networks

Leonardo L. Portes, Michael Small

Structural changes in a network representation of a system (e.g.,different experimental conditions, time evolution), can provide insight on its organization, function and on how it…

nlin.AO2013

What exactly are the properties of scale-free and other networks?

Kevin Judd, Michael Small, Thomas Stemler

The concept of scale-free networks has been widely applied across natural and physical sciences. Many claims are made about the properties of these networks, even though the concep…

physics.soc-ph2019

A novel metric for community detection

Ke-ke Shang, Michael Small, Yan Wang +2

Research into detection of dense communities has recently attracted increasing attention within network science, various metrics for detection of such communities have been propose…

physics.geo-ph2025

Dynamic Object Geographic Coordinate Recognition: An Attitude-Free and Reference-Free Framework via Intrinsic Linear Algebraic Structures

Junfan Yi, Ke-ke Shang, Michael Small

The Earth, a temporal complex system, is witnessing a shift in research on its coordinate system, moving away from conventional static positioning toward embracing dynamic modeling…

q-bio.PE2020

Modelling remote epidemic transmission in Western Australia and implications for pandemic response

Michael Small, Orlando Porras, Michael Little +2

We develop an agent-based model of disease transmission in remote communities in Western Australia. Despite extreme isolation, we show that the movement of people amongst a large n…

physics.soc-ph2014

Exactly scale-free scale-free networks

Linjun Zhang, Michael Small, Kevin Judd

Many complex natural and physical systems exhibit patterns of interconnection that conform, approximately, to a network structure referred to as scale-free. Preferential attachment…

physics.soc-ph2024

A simple model of global cascades on random hypergraphs

Lei Chen, Yanpeng Zhu, Jiadong Zhu +5

This study introduces a comprehensive framework that situates information cascades within the domain of higher-order interactions, utilizing a double-threshold hypergraph model. We…

nlin.CD2007

Asymptotically pivotal statistic for surrogate testing with extended hypothesis

Xiaodong Luo, Jie Zhang, Junfeng Sun +2

The method of surrogate data provides a framework for testing observed data against a hierarchy of alternative hypotheses. The aim of applying this method is to exclude the possibi…

nlin.CD2005

Surrogate Test to Distinguish between Chaotic and Pseudoperiodic Time Series

Xiaodong Luo, Tomomichi Nakamura, Michael Small

In this communication a new algorithm is proposed to produce surrogates for pseudoperiodic time series. By imposing a few constraints on the noise components of pseudoperiodic data…

nlin.CD2012

Predicting the outcome of roulette

Michael Small, Chi Kong Tse

There have been several popular reports of various groups exploiting the deterministic nature of the game of roulette for profit. Moreover, through its history the inherent determi…

physics.soc-ph2013

A surrogate for networks -- How scale-free is my scale-free network?

Michael Small, Kevin Judd, Thomas Stemler

Complex networks are now being studied in a wide range of disciplines across science and technology. In this paper we propose a method by which one can probe the properties of expe…

nlin.CD2006

Surrogate data method applied to nonlinear time series

Xiaodong Luo, Tomomichi Nakamura, Michael Small

The surrogate data method is widely applied as a data dependent technique to test observed time series against a barrage of hypotheses. However, often the hypotheses one is able to…

q-bio.PE2003

Modelling of SARS for Hong Kong

Pengliang Shi, Michael Small

A simplified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model and a small-world model are applied to analyse the spread and control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) f…

stat.ME2023

Model Calibration and Validation From A Statistical Inference Perspective

Samson Ting, Thomas Lymburn, Thomas Stemler +2

Despite the general consensus in transport research community that model calibration and validation are necessary to enhance model predictive performance, there exist significant i…

physics.soc-ph2011

Reciprocal relationships in collective flights of homing pigeons

Xiao-Ke Xu, Graciano Dieck Kattas, Michael Small

Collective motion of bird flocks can be explained via the hypothesis of many wrongs, and/or, a structured leadership mechanism. In pigeons, previous studies have shown that there i…

q-bio.NC2022

Analysis of Activity Dependent Development of Topographic Maps in Neural Field Theory with Short Time Scale Dependent Plasticity

Nicholas Gale, Jennifer Rodger, Michael Small +1

Topographic maps are a brain structure connecting pre-synpatic and post-synaptic brain regions. Topographic development is dependent on Hebbian-based plasticity mechanisms working…

cs.CE2026

Pricing the Unpriced Asset: A Standards-Based Method for Valuing Enterprise Data under IAS 38 and IAS 2

Natasha E. Blycha, James Myint, Dean Arden +7

The recognition and measurement of data assets under current accounting standards presents significant challenges. While International Accounting Standard 38 (IAS 38) provides a fr…

physics.soc-ph2016

Impact of asymptomatic infection on coupled disease-behavior dynamics in complex networks

Hai-Feng Zhang, Jia-Rong Xie, Han-Shuang Chen +2

Studies on how to model the interplay between diseases and behavioral responses (so-called coupled disease-behavior interaction) have attracted increasing attention. Owing to the l…

math.DS2023

Selecting embedding delays: An overview of embedding techniques and a new method using persistent homology

Eugene Tan, Shannon Algar, Débora Corrêa +3

Delay embedding methods are a staple tool in the field of time series analysis and prediction. However, the selection of embedding parameters can have a big impact on the resulting…

nlin.CD2005

Optimal phase space projection for noise reduction

Xiaodong Luo, Jie Zhang, Michael Small

In this communication we will re-examine the widely studied technique of phase space projection. By imposing a time domain constraint (TDC) on the residual noise, we deduce a more…

nlin.CD2006

Exact nonparametric inference for detection of nonlinear determinism

Xiaodong Luo, Jie Zhang, Michael Small +1

We propose an exact nonparametric inference scheme for the detection of nonlinear determinism. The essential fact utilized in our scheme is that, for a linear stochastic process wi…

q-bio.PE2020

West Australian Pandemic Response: The Black Swan of Black Swans

David Cavanagh, Mark Hoey, Andrew Clark +3

The COVID-19 Pandemic has been described as the global challenge of our time, an enormous human tragedy with dramatic economic impacts. This paper describes the response and expect…

q-bio.PE2020

Modelling strong control measures for epidemic propagation with networks -- A COVID-19 case study

Michael Small, David Cavanagh

We show that precise knowledge of epidemic transmission parameters is not required to build an informative model of the spread of disease. We propose a detailed model of the topolo…

nlin.CD2003

Estimating the distribution of dynamic invariants: Illustrated with an application to human photo-plethysmographic time series

Michael Small

Dynamic invariants are often estimated from experimental time series with the aim of differentiating between different physical states in the underlying system. The most popular sc…

math.DS2016

Transmission dynamics of an SIS model with age structure on heterogeneous networks

Shanshan Chen, Michael Small, Yizhou Tao +1

Age at infection is often an important factor in epidemic dynamics. In this paper a disease transmission model of SIS type with age dependent infection on a heterogeneous network i…

physics.data-an2013

Complex Network Approach to the Statistical Features of the Sunspot Series

Yong Zou, Michael Small, Zonghua Liu +1

Complex network approaches have been recently developed as an alternative framework to study the statistical features of time-series data. We perform a visibility-graph analysis on…

physics.soc-ph2009

Revising the simple measures of assortativity in complex networks

Xiao-Ke Xu, Jie Zhang, Junfeng Sun +1

We find that traditional statistics for measuring degree mixing are strongly affected by superrich nodes. To counteract and measure the effect of superrich nodes, we propose a para…

nlin.CD2009

Flocking of Multi-agent Dynamical Systems Based on Pseudo-leader Mechanism

Jin Zhou, Wenwu Yu, Xiaoqun Wu +2

Flocking behavior of multiple agents can be widely observed in nature such as schooling fish and flocking birds. Recent literature has proposed the possibility that flocking is pos…

physics.soc-ph2006

Analysis of telephone network traffic based on a complex user network

Yongxiang Xia, Chi K. Tse, Francis C. M. Lau +2

The traffic in telephone networks is analyzed in this paper. Unlike the classical traffic analysis where call blockings are due to the limited channel capacity, we consider here a…

nlin.AO2014

Super-star networks: Growing optimal scale-free networks via likelihood

Michael Small, Yingying Li, Thomas Stemler +1

Preferential attachment --- by which new nodes attach to existing nodes with probability proportional to the existing nodes' degree --- has become the standard growth model for sca…

nlin.CD2014

Basin of Attraction Determines Hysteresis in Explosive Synchronization

Yong Zou, Tiago Pereira, Michael Small +2

Spontaneous explosive emergent behavior takes place in heterogeneous networks when the frequencies of the nodes are positively correlated to the node degree. A central feature of s…

physics.soc-ph2011

Optimizing and controlling functions of complex networks by manipulating rich-club connections

Xiao-ke xu, Jie Zhang, Ping Li +1

Traditionally, there is no evidence suggesting that there are strong ties between the rich-club property and the function of complex networks. In this study, we find that whether a…

cs.SI2014

Expected degree of finite preferential attachment networks

Michael Small

We provide an analytic expression for the quantity described in the title. Namely, we perform a preferential attachment growth process to generate a scale-free network. At each sta…

nlin.CD2012

Multiscale characterization of recurrence-based phase space networks constructed from time series

Ruoxi Xiang, Jie Zhang, Xiao-ke Xu +1

Recently, a framework for analyzing time series by constructing an associated complex network has attracted significant research interest. One of the advantages of the complex netw…

cs.SI2025

Machine Learning Informed by Micro and Mesoscopic Statistical Physics Methods for Community Detection

Yijun Ran, Junfan Yi, Wei Si +2

Community detection plays a crucial role in understanding the structural organization of complex networks. Previous methods, particularly those from statistical physics, primarily…

physics.soc-ph2017

Detection of core-periphery structure in networks by 3-tuple motifs

Chuang Ma, Bing-Bing Xiang, Hai-Feng Zhang +2

Recently, the core-periphery (CP) structure of networks as one type of meso-scale structure has received attention. The CP structure is composed of a dense core and a sparse connec…

q-bio.PE2018

Global stability of epidemic models with imperfect vaccination and quarantine on scale-free networks

Shanshan Chen, Michael Small, Xinchu Fu

Public health services are constantly searching for new ways to reduce the spread of infectious diseases, such as public vaccination of asymptomatic individuals, quarantine (isolat…

nlin.AO2012

Generating self-organizing collective behavior using separation dynamics from experimental data

Graciano Dieck Kattas, Xiao-ke Xu, Michael Small

Mathematical models for systems of interacting agents using simple local rules have been proposed and shown to exhibit emergent swarming behavior. Most of these models are construc…

cond-mat.dis-nn2021

Consistency capacity of reservoir computers

Thomas Jüngling, Thomas Lymburn, Michael Small

We study the propagation and distribution of information-carrying signals injected in dynamical systems serving as a reservoir computers. A multivariate correlation analysis in tai…

q-bio.OT2011

Dynamical modeling of collective behavior from pigeon flight data: flock cohesion and dispersion

Graciano Dieck Kattas, Xiao-Ke Xu, Michael Small

Several models of flocking have been promoted based on simulations with qualitatively naturalistic behavior. In this paper we provide the first direct application of computational…

nlin.AO2012

The instability of followers and emergent vorticity in flocking behaviour for an experimental interaction rule

Michael Small, Xiaoke Xu

Computational models of collective behavior in birds has allowed us to infer interaction rules directly from experimental data. Using a generic form of these rules we explore the c…

math.DS2019

Consistency in Echo-State Networks

Thomas Lymburn, Alexander Khor, Thomas Stemler +3

Consistency is an extension to generalized synchronization which quantifies the degree of functional dependency of a driven nonlinear system to its input. We apply this concept to…

hep-ph2004

Axino Dark Matter and the CMSSM

Laura Covi, Leszek Roszkowski, Roberto Ruiz de Austri +1

If the axino is the lightest superpartner and satisfies cosmological bounds, including a preferred range of the relic abundance of cold dark matter, then the usual stringent constr…

nlin.CD2003

Optimal time delay embedding for nonlinear time series modeling

Michael Small

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series ana…

nlin.CD2010

Recurrence-based time series analysis by means of complex network methods

Reik V. Donner, Michael Small, Jonathan F. Donges +4

Complex networks are an important paradigm of modern complex systems sciences which allows quantitatively assessing the structural properties of systems composed of different inter…