papers
Publications (13)
physics.data-an2020
On a curious bias arising when the $\sqrt{Ï^2/ν}$ scaling prescription is first applied to a sub-sample of the individual results
Giulio D'Agostini
physics.data-an2015
Bertrand `paradox' reloaded (with details on transformations of variables, an introduction to Monte Carlo simulation and an inferential variation of the problem)
Giulio D'Agostini
physics.data-an2020
Skeptical combination of experimental results using JAGS/rjags with application to the K$^{\pm}$ mass determination
Giulio D'Agostini
math.HO2016
More lessons from the six box toy experiment
Giulio D'Agostini
math.HO2018
Talking about Probability, Inference and Decisions. Part 1: The Witches of Bayes
Giulio D'Agostini, Noemi Cifani, Alba Gilardi
physics.data-an2016
The Waves and the Sigmas (To Say Nothing of the 750 GeV Mirage)
Giulio D'Agostini
stat.AP2021
What is the probability that a vaccinated person is shielded from Covid-19? A Bayesian MCMC based reanalysis of published data with emphasis on what should be reported as 'efficacy'
Giulio D'Agostini, Alfredo Esposito
q-bio.PE2020
Checking individuals and sampling populations with imperfect tests
Giulio D'Agostini, Alfredo Esposito
math.HO2020
The Gauss' Bayes Factor
Giulio D'Agostini
physics.data-an2015
Learning about probabilistic inference and forecasting by playing with multivariate normal distributions
Giulio D'Agostini
math.HO2016
Probability, propensity and probabilities of propensities (and of probabilities)
Giulio D'Agostini
gr-qc2003
Bayesian model comparison applied to the Explorer-Nautilus 2001 coincidence data
Pia Astone, Giulio D'Agostini, Sabrina D'Antonio
stat.ME2020
Ratio of counts vs ratio of rates in Poisson processes
Giulio D'Agostini