paper

Rare kaon decays : Standard Model predictions from lattice QCD

arXiv:2605.22727

Abstract

Weak decays of charged kaons with an additional lepton-antilepton pair, (), are suppressed at order in the Standard Model (SM) and provide sensitive probes of its flavour structure, as well as independent determinations of the Cabibbo angle . In this Letter we present the SM predictions for all four channels with , based on the first complete lattice QCD calculation of the structure-dependent form factors reported in a companion paper [1]. Using the PDG value [2] , we obtain branching fractions with controlled uncertainties and precisions ranging from to , depending on the channel. For the three modes with published measurements, our results agree with experiment. For the mode, for which no published experimental result is available, we compare our prediction with the preliminary NA62 result, finding agreement at the level. Conversely, the measured decay rates can be used together with our results to extract from these modes. A weighted average over the two most precise channels, and , yields , corresponding to a determination. These results pave the way for using decays as precision probes of the SM.

9 pages, 5 figures, 3 tables